Mictlán vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
CON
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
HAL
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
COM
3 - 0
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
COM
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOR
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
UNI
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MUN
2 - 2
TOR
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 0
VEN
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
TOR
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |