Primera Apertura Final
Global 2-6
Mictlán vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CON
4 - 1
ESC
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
ESC
1 - 0
CON
45%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
COA
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
COA
2 - 3
CON
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
PET
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPD
3 - 1
TOR
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
TOR
4 - 0
SPD
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TOR
4 - 0
PET
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
PET
1 - 1
TOR
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
TOR
4 - 2
AUR
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |