Mictlán vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
MIX
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SAC
0 - 0
CON
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CON
4 - 1
DEP
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAY
0 - 0
CON
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
ZAC
86%
9%
4%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
COB
2 - 1
HER
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
HER
1 - 5
QUI
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
SAY
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
HER
16%
24%
60%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |