Mictlán vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
COB
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ZAC
0 - 1
CON
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
MIX
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
HER
36%
26%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HER
5 - 1
SAY
79%
13%
8%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 3
HER
28%
24%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
SAC
81%
12%
7%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MIX
3 - 2
HER
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |