Mictlán vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
JAL
0 - 0
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CON
0 - 1
CHI
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CON
0 - 0
ZAC
33%
25%
43%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
LEO
4 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
DEP
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CHI
6 - 0
HER
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
LEO
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
VEN
1 - 0
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
COM
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
JAL
4 - 1
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |