Primera Apertura Final
Global 3-1
Mictlán vs Dep. Chiantla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
SPD
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
SPD
2 - 0
CON
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CON
4 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
ZAC
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
DEP
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |