Primera Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Mictlán vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
COA
2 - 3
CON
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
PET
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ACH
2 - 1
CON
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CON
5 - 1
TEC
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
DEP
2 - 1
CON
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
COA
2 - 3
CON
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ESC
3 - 1
COA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
COA
4 - 1
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NUE
0 - 0
COA
30%
26%
45%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
COA
4 - 1
TOR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |