Mictlán vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
25.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
MIX
26%
29%
46%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ZAC
1 - 1
CON
32%
27%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
SOL
1 - 0
CON
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
SOL
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ESC
1 - 3
CON
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
ZAC
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
MIX
4 - 0
CAR
63%
23%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
SAY
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
ZAC
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
CAR
43%
28%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |