Mictlán vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ACH
1 - 1
CON
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SAC
3 - 0
CON
47%
27%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
CFC
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
DCA
1 - 0
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
CFC
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
DCA
2 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
5 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 1
CAR
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
COM
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |