Mictlán vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
QUI
3 - 3
CON
21%
24%
56%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
SAC
55%
26%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
CON
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
MIX
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
DEP
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +3 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
QUI
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 2
CAR
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |