Mictlán vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
COM
41%
29%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COB
1 - 0
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
LEO
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
CON
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
VEN
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |