Mictlán vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
MIX
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
SAY
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 2
CON
33%
25%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
SAC
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
DEP
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAY
3 - 3
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
QUI
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SAC
3 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
HER
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +2 |