Mictlán vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
MIX
0 - 2
CON
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
SAC
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
CON
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
SAY
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ZAC
2 - 1
CON
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
ZAC
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
COB
5 - 2
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
QUI
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
7%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAY
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |