Mictlán vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
PET
0 - 6
CON
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CON
2 - 0
COB
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CON
4 - 2
ACH
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 1
CON
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CON
5 - 0
TEC
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
IZA
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAC
5 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
PET
0 - 0
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
COB
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |