Primera Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Mictlán vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
ZAC
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COB
2 - 0
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
QUI
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
CON
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
HUE
4 - 2
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -3 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 3
COM
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
IZT
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |