Mictlán vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AUR
4 - 3
CON
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
NUE
38%
25%
38%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
NUE
1 - 1
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CON
3 - 1
GFC
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AUR
4 - 3
CON
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SLC
0 - 0
AUR
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 1
SLC
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
IZT
2 - 3
AUR
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 0
IZT
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |