Mictlán vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
JUP
4 - 0
CON
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
ZAC
55%
27%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
LEO
42%
29%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 0
CON
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
MIX
33%
30%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 2
CHI
47%
28%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
DSA
3 - 1
AUR
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 2
ZAC
36%
30%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
COM
0 - 0
AUR
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 0
CHI
40%
30%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |