Mictlán vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
COM
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 1
CON
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CON
4 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
MIX
3 - 2
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
QUI
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 0
AUR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 3
AUR
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
COM
1 - 2
AUR
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |