Mictlán vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 0
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
UNI
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
CON
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
CON
1 - 2
ACH
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 0
AUR
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ACH
1 - 0
AUR
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 1
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 2
UNI
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUR
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |