Micaelense vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Micaelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SCG
5 - 0
MIC
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MIC
0 - 3
PRA
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 1
MIC
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MIC
0 - 5
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MIC
1 - 1
LUS
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PRA
0 - 2
LUS
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
IDE
0 - 1
PRA
25%
24%
52%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PRA
1 - 0
FAY
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 3
PRA
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
PRA
26%
25%
50%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -2 |