MFA Development U18 vs Alfândega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MFA Development U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
MFA
2 - 4
CHW
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
SMA
3 - 1
MFA
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MFA
0 - 1
LAI
18%
22%
61%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CLU
2 - 0
MFA
72%
16%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MFA
0 - 3
ADG
13%
20%
67%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Alfândega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
CPO
5 - 2
ALF
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
GDA
2 - 2
ALF
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 2
CHW
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SMA
2 - 0
ALF
70%
18%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 0
LAI
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |