Mezzolara vs Virtus Pavullese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 5
MEZ
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MEZ
0 - 0
PIS
19%
27%
54%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
MEZ
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MEZ
1 - 4
VIR
45%
27%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
MEZ
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
BAG
22%
23%
56%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 2
VIR
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOR
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIR
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 2
VIR
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |