Mezzolara vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BSD
1 - 1
MEZ
25%
24%
52%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MEZ
2 - 3
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
MEZ
32%
26%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 0
BAG
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ACP
1 - 2
MEZ
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 1
COR
24%
22%
55%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
USR
2 - 2
PRO
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
RAV
14%
18%
68%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
TRI
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 1
PRO
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |