Mezzolara vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
COR
1 - 3
MEZ
50%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MEZ
1 - 1
CRE
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
UST
4 - 2
MEZ
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 4
MEZ
59%
22%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 2
MEZ
85%
11%
4%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 1
CRE
28%
22%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 1
PRO
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 2
MAN
8%
16%
76%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
PRO
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 2
ASD
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |