Mezzolara vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
FIO
0 - 2
MEZ
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MEZ
0 - 2
FSD
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
USR
2 - 5
MEZ
25%
27%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MEZ
3 - 2
CSP
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BAG
5 - 2
MEZ
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
RUD
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOR
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
PON
27%
27%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |