Mezzolara vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SDA
0 - 1
MEZ
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
ASC
2 - 0
MEZ
44%
27%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MEZ
1 - 1
PON
42%
26%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CSP
1 - 0
MEZ
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MEZ
1 - 1
ACC
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BOR
0 - 0
USR
37%
27%
36%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 1
BOR
53%
24%
23%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
RIC
3 - 0
BOR
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BOR
0 - 1
BFM
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PON
5 - 1
BOR
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |