México U23 vs Japón U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
HND
0 - 2
MEX
21%
21%
59%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MEX
2 - 0
CAN
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
MEX
2 - 1
HND
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
HAI
0 - 1
MEX
9%
15%
76%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MEX
4 - 0
CRC
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Japón U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
JPN
2 - 0
VIE
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
KOR
1 - 0
JPN
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
PLE
0 - 4
JPN
14%
20%
67%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NEP
0 - 4
JPN
12%
19%
70%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
JPN
1 - 3
IRQ
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |