Mexico U23s vs Argentina U23s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MEX
2 - 4
ARG
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MEX
1 - 4
JAP
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
USA
2 - 1
MEX
23%
23%
55%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 0
COL
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
MEX
85%
10%
5%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MEX
2 - 4
ARG
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 3
PRY
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 2
VEN
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 3
URY
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |