Mexicali FC vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
57.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
12º
12º
25
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
EST
3 - 0
MFC
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
LCU
3 - 1
MFC
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 1
DUR
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 0
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
CIM
0 - 0
DUR
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LEO
3 - 1
CIM
13%
22%
66%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 1
ADG
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TRI
0 - 0
CIM
11%
21%
68%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 0
TDA
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 34 | 39 | 0 |