Mexicali FC vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis

Mexicali FC Cimarrones de Sonora
34 ELO 73
-11.5% Tilt -5%
8333º General ELO ranking 1273º
119º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
17.9%
Mexicali FC
25%
Draw
57.1%
Cimarrones de Sonora

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
Mexicali FC
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
57.1%
Win probability
Cimarrones de Sonora
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mexicali FC
-32%
-14%
Cimarrones de Sonora

Points and table prediction

Mexicali FC
Their league position
Cimarrones de Sonora
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
12º
12º
25
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Apodaca
25
24
100%
Cimarrones de Sonora
25
23
100%
Durango
22
21
100%
Los Cabos
21
19
100%
Leones Negros II
18
18
100%
Tecos
18
16
100%
Mineros de Fresnillo
16
16
100%
UA Zacatecas
17
16
100%
Tritones Vallarta
17
15
100%
Tigres de Álica
10º
14
13
10º
100%
Agricultores Guasave
11º
10
8
11º
100%
Mexicali FC
12º
0
0
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mexicali FC
Cimarrones de Sonora
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Mexicali FC
Cimarrones de Sonora
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mexicali FC
Mexicali FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2025
EST
Tecos
3 - 0
Mexicali FC
MFC
74%
16%
10%
34 56 22 0
23 Feb. 2025
MIN
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 - 1
Mexicali FC
MFC
68%
19%
14%
34 49 15 0
16 Feb. 2025
LCU
Los Cabos
3 - 1
Mexicali FC
MFC
64%
22%
14%
35 59 24 -1
08 Feb. 2025
MFC
Mexicali FC
0 - 1
Durango
DUR
20%
25%
55%
35 67 32 0
01 Feb. 2025
LEO
Leones Negros II
2 - 0
Mexicali FC
MFC
68%
19%
13%
35 52 17 0

Matches

Cimarrones de Sonora
Cimarrones de Sonora
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2025
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
0 - 0
Durango
DUR
55%
25%
20%
73 68 5 0
01 Mar. 2025
LEO
Leones Negros II
3 - 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
13%
22%
66%
74 52 22 -1
22 Feb. 2025
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 - 1
Agricultores Guasave
ADG
68%
21%
12%
73 33 40 +1
15 Feb. 2025
TRI
Tritones Vallarta
0 - 0
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
11%
21%
68%
73 52 21 0
08 Feb. 2025
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 - 0
Tigres de Álica
TDA
68%
20%
12%
73 34 39 0