Meux II vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ARQ
1 - 0
MEU
46%
22%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GRA
9 - 1
MEU
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MEU
1 - 1
PES
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
MEU
42%
23%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MEU
5 - 1
ROC
39%
22%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LIG
3 - 1
LOY
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
GED
2 - 0
LIG
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 2
ASS
28%
22%
51%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FOS
4 - 1
LIG
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AIS
0 - 1
LIG
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |