Metz vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
MPL
1 - 2
MET
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
MET
0 - 0
CAE
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
MET
0 - 0
NIC
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
TFC
2 - 0
MET
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
MET
1 - 1
NAN
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
SPO
0 - 4
MAR
33%
31%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
AUX
2 - 0
SPO
54%
28%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
SPO
0 - 2
GIR
34%
32%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
PSG
1 - 1
SPO
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
SPO
2 - 0
MON
32%
32%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |