Metz vs Rodez analysis

Metz Rodez
85 ELO 78
2.3% Tilt -0.1%
258º General ELO ranking 831º
15º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
54.7%
Metz
23%
Draw
22.2%
Rodez

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
Metz
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.3%
Win probability
Rodez
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Metz
+14%
-1%
Rodez

Points and table prediction

Metz
Their league position
Rodez
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
10º
39
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lorient
71
71
100%
Paris FC
69
69
100%
Metz
65
65
100%
USL Dunkerque
56
56
100%
Guingamp
55
55
100%
Annecy
51
51
100%
Stade Lavallois
50
50
100%
Bastia
48
48
100%
Grenoble
46
46
100%
Troyes
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Amiens SC
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Ajaccio
12º
42
42
12º
0%
Pau FC
13º
42
42
13º
0%
Rodez
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Red Star
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Clermont
16º
33
33
16º
100%
FC Martigues
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Caen
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Metz
Rodez
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Metz
Rodez
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Metz
Metz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2025
PAU
Pau FC
2 - 1
Metz
MET
24%
26%
50%
85 76 9 0
19 Apr. 2025
MET
Metz
2 - 2
Red Star
RED
66%
20%
14%
85 75 10 0
11 Apr. 2025
FCM
FC Martigues
1 - 4
Metz
MET
19%
26%
56%
84 71 13 +1
05 Apr. 2025
CAE
Caen
2 - 2
Metz
MET
18%
26%
56%
84 72 12 0
28 Mar. 2025
MET
Metz
2 - 1
Troyes
TRO
62%
22%
16%
84 78 6 0

Matches

Rodez
Rodez
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2025
ROD
Rodez
1 - 1
Paris FC
PFC
33%
27%
40%
78 84 6 0
18 Apr. 2025
STL
Stade Lavallois
2 - 1
Rodez
ROD
39%
26%
35%
78 77 1 0
11 Apr. 2025
ROD
Rodez
2 - 2
Caen
CAE
57%
23%
21%
78 72 6 0
04 Apr. 2025
ROD
Rodez
1 - 0
FC Martigues
FCM
61%
22%
16%
77 71 6 +1
28 Mar. 2025
RED
Red Star
1 - 1
Rodez
ROD
37%
26%
36%
77 75 2 0