Metz vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
SOC
1 - 1
MET
58%
25%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
MET
2 - 2
TFC
47%
28%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
TRO
0 - 0
MET
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
LEN
0 - 0
MET
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
MET
2 - 0
AJA
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 0
AJA
49%
28%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
REN
1 - 0
NIC
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 1
LYO
18%
26%
56%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
STR
0 - 0
NIC
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 1
GIR
33%
29%
38%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |