Metz vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
TFC
2 - 1
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
MET
3 - 1
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1988 |
AUX
2 - 1
MET
52%
27%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1988 |
MET
1 - 0
CAE
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 0
MET
46%
28%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
NIC
1 - 0
STL
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
MAR
3 - 2
NIC
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1988 |
NIC
3 - 2
RAC
55%
24%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1988 |
STR
3 - 0
NIC
50%
26%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1988 |
MPL
1 - 1
NIC
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |