Metz vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 1
MET
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
MET
2 - 1
NAN
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
MON
2 - 2
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
MET
0 - 0
STR
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
GIR
0 - 0
MET
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
ASN
3 - 0
REN
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
TRO
2 - 0
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ASN
1 - 2
MPL
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASN
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
ASN
2 - 1
LEN
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |