Metz vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
REI
6 - 0
MET
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
MET
2 - 1
MAR
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
MET
1 - 4
RAC
55%
22%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
LIL
4 - 2
MET
68%
17%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1954 |
LEN
2 - 3
MET
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ASN
2 - 2
SOC
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
MON
0 - 2
ASN
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
TRO
2 - 1
ASN
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ASN
4 - 0
RCR
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1954 |
ASN
1 - 0
LIL
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |