Metz vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MON
4 - 0
MET
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
MET
1 - 3
MPL
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 1
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MET
3 - 3
GIR
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
MET
2 - 1
KAI
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
LOR
0 - 1
NAN
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 0
LOR
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LOR
0 - 2
REN
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ANG
1 - 0
LOR
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 2
BRE
42%
26%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |