Metz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MET
1 - 0
MPL
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
MET
4 - 0
UNF
88%
10%
2%
|
76 | 10 | 66 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 2
MET
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
MET
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MET
1 - 1
SER
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
16%
20%
65%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 0
LIL
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 0
LIL
51%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
KVK
1 - 1
LIL
17%
24%
60%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
LIL
0 - 1
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |