Metz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
36%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
MET
0 - 1
SOC
32%
29%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 1
MET
46%
28%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MET
3 - 0
AUX
27%
30%
43%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
GIR
1 - 0
MET
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
MET
0 - 1
MAR
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 0
LIL
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
LIL
3 - 2
LEN
52%
27%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 0
SOC
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 0
LIL
30%
29%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
34%
30%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |