Metz vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 0
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
MET
1 - 1
ANG
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 2
MET
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
MET
0 - 2
MON
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
AMI
1 - 1
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
LMU
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
SED
0 - 1
GUI
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
TOU
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 0
STL
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
GUI
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |