Metz vs FC Martigues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
10º
3º
32
9º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
LOR
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 2
MET
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
STL
63%
23%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 3
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Martigues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 4
GRE
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
3 - 0
FCM
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 1
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ANN
2 - 4
FCM
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 1
LOR
26%
26%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |