Metz vs Excelsior Roubaix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
MET
0 - 3
SOC
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
ANT
1 - 1
MET
42%
24%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
MET
3 - 0
RAC
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
CAN
2 - 1
MET
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
RCR
1 - 2
MET
40%
23%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Roubaix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
ASS
2 - 2
EXC
55%
19%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
EXC
6 - 2
RAC
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ANT
3 - 0
EXC
37%
23%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
EXC
0 - 1
LEN
65%
17%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
STR
3 - 1
EXC
50%
20%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |