Europa League 1/32
Global 6-1
Metz vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1997 |
MET
3 - 0
AUX
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
BAS
0 - 0
MET
43%
28%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
0 - 2
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
MET
2 - 0
CAN
60%
23%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
REN
2 - 2
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
2 - 0
EEA
65%
20%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1997 |
AND
1 - 2
EXC
76%
15%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
0 - 2
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
0 - 1
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
LOK
2 - 1
EXC
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |