Metz vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
PFC
1 - 2
MET
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
MET
3 - 2
AJA
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CLE
2 - 1
MET
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
BRE
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
NÎM
2 - 1
MET
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 0
NIO
44%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
NIO
2 - 1
PFC
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
AUX
1 - 1
NIO
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
NIO
0 - 0
LHA
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
CLE
2 - 1
NIO
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |