Metz vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
ARL
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 2
MET
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 0
MET
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
STL
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
AUX
0 - 4
MET
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
NIO
1 - 1
LHA
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 1
NIO
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
NIO
2 - 3
LHA
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
NIO
1 - 1
TRO
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
CLE
1 - 1
NIO
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |