Metz vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 2
MET
60%
25%
15%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
REN
26%
26%
49%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LYO
5 - 0
MET
81%
13%
5%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
NAN
37%
29%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MON
5 - 0
MET
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
5 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 0
ASS
27%
29%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 2
NAN
33%
30%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 1
ANG
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ANG
3 - 0
BAS
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |