Metz vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
42%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 1
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
MET
0 - 2
LIL
33%
29%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
NAN
0 - 0
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
MET
0 - 0
STR
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ASS
2 - 0
MET
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
AUX
2 - 0
AJA
64%
22%
15%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
AUX
2 - 1
LSO
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
REN
3 - 1
AUX
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 2
LYO
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LEN
7 - 0
AUX
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |