Metz vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
MET
2 - 1
GRE
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CLE
2 - 3
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
MET
5 - 1
ORL
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
BRE
0 - 1
MET
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
MET
2 - 0
RAC
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
PFC
0 - 0
AJA
33%
26%
40%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 3
SOC
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
BEZ
0 - 1
AJA
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 1
TRO
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 2
FBB
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |