Metz vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CLE
2 - 1
MET
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
BRE
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
NÎM
2 - 1
MET
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MET
0 - 1
LHA
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
ASN
2 - 2
MET
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
AJA
0 - 0
PFC
60%
25%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 1
ASN
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
AUX
0 - 0
AJA
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 1
CLE
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
STL
0 - 0
AJA
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |