Metz U19 vs Montferrand U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
14º
9º
18
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
75% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MET
3 - 2
DIJ
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
MET
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MET
4 - 0
PAG
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SOC
1 - 1
MET
54%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MET
3 - 0
BBP
63%
18%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Montferrand U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 3
STR
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
2 - 1
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
SOC
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BBP
3 - 2
MON
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BOB
1 - 0
MON
79%
12%
8%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |